BAGHDAD -- Amid the global downturn, a number of intrepid investors are
dipping their toes into the waters of an unlikely haven: Iraq.
Energy investors have long been sounding out opportunities in the oil-rich
country. But as security here continues to improve, nonoil investors are giving
Iraq a first serious look.
While real-estate development and construction projects are faltering across
the globe, Iraq is just starting its massive rebuilding effort. Infrastructure
overhauls alone could offer $300 billion in contracts, according to some
estimates. And Iraq's 30 million or so residents, many of whom are
well-educated, make for a promising consumer market.
Fairfax I.S. PLC, a private-equity outfit based in London, is raising up to
$1 billion for a fund aimed at the Iraqi industrial, agriculture and
communications sectors. The company has offices in Dubai and Abu Dhabi, and says
its fund managers have identified 44 projects requiring some $4.5 billion in
investment. Among the possibilities: a $720 million recycling plant and an $11
million chicken slaughterhouse.
Fairfax Managing Director Richard Blakesley says his company is spending more
time looking at Iraq in part because the global financial crisis has made other
opportunities look riskier than they did in the past.
"There is plenty of money left in the Gulf, and what's more risky now --
investing in real estate in Dubai or investing in industrial development in
Iraq?" says Mr. Blakesley.
Iraqi government officials have been trying to woo foreign investors since
shortly after the U.S.-led invasion of the country in 2003. But the chaotic
aftermath, with a bloody insurgency and the sectarian strife that followed,
scared most people off.
Violence has dropped off dramatically in the past year. So has the price of
crude, the engine of Iraq's economy. Oil receipts make up some 90% of government
revenue.
The oil-price carnage has a silver lining for foreign investors: It's forcing
government officials to come up with new ways to attract cash. The government is
considering changing laws to attract foreign investors, including streamlining
rules for acquiring land for investment projects.
Dubai-based DP World, an affiliate of government-owned Dubai World, has said it is halting most new port
investments this year as global trade dries up. Dubai World's real-estate
development arm is delaying big development projects at home amid Dubai's
tanking property market.
Iraq looks promising compared to the rest of the world, says Hassan Hadi, DP
World's vice president for business development. Mr. Hadi is negotiating to
operate port terminals at Um Qasr, Iraq's only seaport, at the northern tip of
the Persian Gulf.
Byram Javat, chairman of Dubai-based Uniworld FZE, established an office in
Iraq in 2004 but pulled out in 2006 as the security situation deteriorated.
Uniworld owns companies that make blast walls and build hotels, among other
ventures.
Mr. Javat says he's considering going back to Iraq this year if the political
situation continues to stabilize and security continues to improve. He is
interested in eventually setting up factories to produce medical equipment,
build water-treatment plants and other opportunities.
"Iraq is very attractive because they need everything," says Mr. Javat. "So
it's virgin territory."
Write to Gina Chon at gina.chon@wsj.com