By Marianne Stigset and Anthony DiPaola
Sept. 23 (Bloomberg) -- DNO International ASA’s
suspension from producing oil in Iraq highlights the risks for explorers seeking
to tap the world’s third-largest reserves.
The Kurdistan regional government shut down operations at Oslo-based DNO, the
first foreign company to pump crude in Iraq since the 1970s, for as many as six
weeks after its role in a share transaction was disclosed by the Oslo exchange
amid an investigation of the deal. The government said on Sept. 21 that DNO must
act to repair the damage to its reputation after it was fined by the bourse for
a delay in providing information.
The DNO dispute “raises some concerns on investments in the region,” said Al Stanton, an RBC Capital Markets analyst with a “sector
perform” rating on the company. “It has again highlighted the uncertainty
associated with the fiscal and legal terms and that is a worry for us.”
Disagreement between regions and sectarian groups has delayed a nationwide
oil law in Iraq, even as officials are attempting to attract producers such as
Exxon Mobil Corp. to bid on
licenses and increase production after almost two decades of sanctions and war.
DNO started exports in June from the semi- autonomous region, five years after
signing an agreement.
The Kurdish area signed production-sharing agreements with companies such as
DNO and Addax Petroleum Corp. on its own, accords deemed invalid by
Iraq’s federal government based in Baghdad. While exports began in June, there
hasn’t been agreement on payment terms. Shipments from the region are made
through Iraq’s State Oil Marketing Organization and revenue is deposited with
the central treasury.
Oil Law
“We don’t know how it will impact results as we don’t know how long production is going to be
shut down,” Mark Edwards, a London-based spokesman for DNO, said by phone
yesterday.
Iraq has drafted a national oil law to regulate foreign companies’ rights and
obligations and split crude revenue throughout the country’s different groups.
The measure has been held up in parliament before January’s scheduled elections
as the nation struggles with output six years after the U.S.-led invasion ousted
former dictator Saddam Hussein.
Iraq awarded just one out of eight service contracts offered during a bidding
round for licenses in June and plans a second round before the end of the year
to attract the investors and technology. Companies like Exxon and Royal Dutch Shell Plc balked
at accepting to work for field service fees the Iraqi government said it was
willing to pay that were less than half what the producers proposed.
What’s Offered?
The world’s top 10 non-state oil producers, including Exxon and Shell, are
qualified to bid in the second round. All but one of them made offers for fields
in the first tender, which only attracted one successful bid, from BP Plc and China National Petroleum
Corp.
StatoilHydro ASA, Norway’s
biggest oil and gas producer which is pre-qualified for the second round,
yesterday said it was monitoring the DNO situation.
“We’re still in the process of looking at what’s being offered in the second
licensing round, and in that context there are a number of important things for
us to assess, such as economy, safety, ethics and the political situation,” Mari Dotterud, a StatoilHydro spokeswoman said. “We monitor the
events closely and continuously reassess.”
BP and Exxon declined to comment on their plans in the country while a Shell spokeswoman said the
company, based in The Hague, remains interested in opportunities to work in Iraq
and is reviewing the situation regarding the next licensing round.
Bid Qualification
About 45 companies are qualified to bid in the second round, giving them a
shot at a stake in the long-term potential held by the country’s 115 billion
barrels of reserves. Iraqi Oil Minister Hussain al-Shahristani said the country aims to boost
production to about 6 million barrels a day by 2015, from about 2.5 million
barrels a day. Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest oil exporter, produces 8
million barrels a day.
Oil producers such as Exxon and Shell have avoided the Kurdish region because
the central government said it would exclude any firms signing deals there from
bidding elsewhere, according to Muhammad-Ali Zainy, a senior energy analyst at the Centre for
Global Energy Studies in London. “Not having an oil law is a big drawback,” he
said.
DNO estimated sales of 129 million kroner ($22 million) in the second quarter
from Iraq. There’s no timeline for when it will get paid, Chief Executive
Officer Helge Eide said on Sept. 2. DNO delivers 45,000 barrels a day
from its Tawke field through a pipeline to Turkey. It owns 55 percent of the
field, which has reserves of 150 million to 370 million barrels.
Operations Halted
The Kurdistan Ministry of Natural Resources in a Sept. 21 letter informed DNO
its operations would be halted for a maximum of six weeks and said it needs to
“remedy, and to our full satisfaction, the damage done to the KRG reputation and
for once and all to sort its internal problems” with the exchange. DNO would not
be entitled “to any economic interest” during the suspension, the authority
said.
The exchange last week disclosed that the authority acted as a middleman in a
transaction of 43 million shares of DNO in October last year, a role DNO had
sought to keep undisclosed. The exchange urged the company to disclose the
contacts between Kurdistan Natural Resource Minister Ashti Hawrami and DNO’s Eide regarding the transaction.
The Kurdistan government said it got involved to help DNO with capital and
that no officials benefited. The bourse started the probe after DNO sold shares
to an undisclosed buyer. DNO has said it “will explore all options available to
protect the interests of DNO shareholders.”
No Benefits
The Oslo Stock Exchange said after the close of the market today that it is
ending the suspension of DNO’s stock and bonds. DNO hasn’t traded since Sept.
21.
“It’s hard to see exactly where this is going to go,” said Samuel Ciszuk, an energy analyst at IHS Global Insight in
London. “It’s problematic for the KRG if they throw them out because they would
probably undermine how people see the security of doing business in Iraqi
Kurdistan. They would be as much of a loser as DNO.”
The start of exports in June sparked a surge of interest in the area. Heritage Oil Ltd. entered
into a memorandum of understanding to combine with Turkey’s Genel Energy
International Ltd. for 1.52 billion pounds ($2.5 billion) on June 9, a move
which would create the region’s biggest producer.
Two weeks later, China Petrochemical Corp.,
China’s second- largest oil company, agreed to buy Geneva-based Addax Petroleum Corp. Other
companies operating in the region include Gulf Keystone Petroleum Ltd.
and Vast Exploration Inc.
Sterling Well
Talisman Chief Executive Officer John Manzoni said on Sept. 8 that the company is waiting to
expand projects in Kurdistan until there is a settlement between the Iraqi
central government and the Kurdish authorities.
Sterling Energy Plc, a
London-listed explorer, said today it’s preparing its first exploration well on
the Sangaw North block in Kurdistan in the fourth quarter, noting success rates
for recent such drilling in Kurdistan are about 50 percent.
The potential reward of large finds in Iraqi Kurdistan makes the risk
worthwhile for the smaller companies like DNO operating there, IHS’s Ciszuk
said.
“If they start getting paid, they’ve made a very good deal,” Ciszuk said. The
opportunity for a find that could add 100,000 to 150,000 barrels of output a day
for one of these companies could be “a game changer.”
To contact the reporters on this story: Marianne Stigset in Oslo at mstigset@bloomberg.net; Anthony DiPaola in Dubai at adipaola@bloomberg.net
Last Updated:
September 23, 2009 13:09 EDT
Kurdistan Oil Spat With DNO Signals New Risk in Iraq - Source