* Kurdistan attractive, seen as high-growth area
* Country set for stabilisation, despite election impasse
* First saw Iraq as a UN peace keeper
By Cecilia Valente
LONDON, June 24 (Reuters) - Things are looking up for politician-turned-fund
manager Bjorn Englund -- he doesn't need bodyguards anymore when researching for
his Iraq-focused fund.
Englund, the Swedish manager of the $30 million Babylon Fund and founder of
boutique Godvig, is one of the handful of investors who see glittering prospects
behind the gruesome Iraqi headlines in the aftermath of war and the impasse that
followed inconclusive elections in March. [ID:nLDE65L161]
"I see a good future in Iraq and I see us being there in the long term," he
said, with the caveat that the nascent democracy is not for the faint hearted
nor for those in a hurry to make a quick return on their investment.
He might have given up his bodyguards in 2006, but there are still pitfalls
to negotiate.
"Even if the fundamentals are heading the right way it may not translate as
stock market performance. Nothing might happen for a long, long time and then
everything will happen at the same time," he said.
The Babylon fund, which mainly comprises stocks listed on the Iraq Stock
exchange, has returned 18.6 percent in the five years since it was set up, a
year after the Baghdad bourse was re-opened following the 2003 U.S.-led
invasion.
Investing was not on Englund's mind when he saw Iraq for the first time, as a
UN peace keeper after the first Gulf War. The experience struck a chord with the
student who was taking a break from university to see the world.
"When you see a country on its knees, you take a personal interest, you give
it a bit of your heart," Englund said.
He has shied away from learning the language, but at least has some
experience of the political lexicon in a country struggling to establish
democracy. His own political career with the Swedish Liberal Party lasted 10
years from the mid-1980s.
His incentive, he said, was to help change the world and uphold "market
values", which also spurred his interest in former communist countries, some of
which were close to Sweden.
It took a spell in frontier country-focused fund management on behalf of his
employer, Unibank -- one of the four banks that formed financial group Nordea
(NDA.ST: Quote) -- to prepare Englund
for his Iraqi comeback, this time as a fund manager. [ID:nLDE65018Q]
BANKING ON OIL
The fund has a quarterly redemption policy, which makes Englund keen on the
more liquid Iraqi stocks, some of which use International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS), making valuations easier.
The Iraqi bourse's major constituents are banks, some of which are backed by
international investors. Englund is underweight the sector to keep his portfolio
broadly diversified.
He prefers internationally-backed banks, such as Dar El Salaam, the
investment bank in which HSBC (HSBA.L: Quote) has taken a major stake as part of
plans to gain access to the Iraqi market.
The fund also invests in the Commercial Bank of Iraq, owned by Middle Eastern
group Ahli United Bank (BKME.KW: Quote).
However, the country, which has the third largest oil reserve in the world,
remains an "oil story." Englund's exposure to the sector consists of foreign
companies, such as DNO International (DNO.OL: Quote) and WesternZagros (WZR.V: Quote), and it is likely to remain the
case for some time to come as Iraqi companies are still nationalised and Englund
sees their privatisation as "years down the line."
Oil accounts for 23 percent of the fund's investments, financials 45 percent,
while the rest is in hotels, telecoms and technology stocks.
"SEXY KURDISTAN"
The oil theme will dominate his next journey to Iraq, scheduled for
September, although Englund is not going to Baghdad or Basra but rather to
Erbil, the capital of the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region.
"Iraq is an oil story, but the Kurdish region is even more of an oil story,"
he said. Kurdistan, which during Saddam Hussein's regime saw the execution,
murder and disappearance of hundreds of thousands of Kurds, has shown an
entrepreneurial drive, which has led Englund to make one of his very few private
equity investments -- the recently launched Erbil Stock Exchange.
"Kurdistan is the sexiest story in the whole of Iraq," he said.
"They have a much more Western mindset, they invited international oil
drilling companies much faster and more efficiently than the rest of
Iraq.
"My feeling is that the growth rate in Kurdistan is much higher than in the
rest of Iraq," he said.
INVESTOR PROFILE-Englund eyes returns in war-ravaged Iraq - Source